THE ECONOMY OF KOREA - Looking Ahead to the 21st Century
    
    In the last quarter century, Korea's economic growth has been among the fastest in the world. The country has overcome obstacles and challenges to transform itself from a subsistence-level economy into one of the world's leading newly industrialized countries. Today, however, the Korean economy faces the new challenges of internationalization and globalization in an increasingly complex global economic environment.
    Past Performance and Policies
     Since Korea launched its First Five-Year Economic Development Plan in 1962, the country's real GNP has expanded by an average of more than 8 percent per year. As a result, Korea's GNP has grown from US$2.3 billion in 1962 to US$328.7 billion in 1993; per capita GNP has increased from a meager US$82 in 1962 to US$7,466 in 1993 at current price levels.
     The industrial structure of the Korean economy has also been completely transformed. The agricultural sector's share of GNP declined from 37.0 percent in 1962 to 7.1 percent in 1993. The manufacturing sector's share has increased from 14.4 percent to 27.1 percent in the same period. The service sector accounted for only 24.1 percent of GNP in 1962 but grew to 40.0 percent in 1993.
     Korea's merchandise trade volume increased from US$500 million in 1962 to US$166 billion in 1993. The nation continuously posted trade deficits until 1985 when its foreign debt reached US$46.8 billion, the fourth largest in the world. From 1986 to 1989, Korea recorded current account surpluses and its debt declined.
     Inflation in Korea was one of the major economic problems in the 70s and early 80s, during which consumer prices rose at annual rates of 10-20 percent. Since 1982, Korea has managed to keep inflation down to a single digit. The ratio of domestic savings to GNP grew from 3.3 percent in 1962 to 34.9 percent in 1993.
    
    Recent Challenges
     Beginning in 1989, the Korean economy began experiencing slower growth, high inflation and a deterioration in the balance of payments. The GNP growth rate fell to 6.7 percent in 1989 from the 12 percent level of previous years. A slump in the growth of the manufacturing sector, from 18.8 percent in 1987 and 13.4 percent in 1988 to 13.7 percent in 1989, contributed largely to this decline in GNP growth rate. The export growth rate on a customs clearance basis, which was 36.2 percent in 1987 and 28.4 percent in 1988, fell to just 2.8 percent in 1989. Reflecting this fall in the export growth rate, the current account surplus lowered to around US$5.1 billion, a significant drop from the 1988 surplus of US$14.2 billion.
     In 1991, the economic growth rate showed signs of recovery. The GNP grew during the year 9.1 percent. However, most of this growth was attributed to an increase in domestic demand, particularly domestic consumption. Exports increased 10.3 percent compared to 1990, while the growth rate of imports increased 17.7 percent. The trade balance deteriorate rapidly to a US$7.0 billion deficit in 1991 from the US$4.6 billion surplus in 1989. In addition, price stability, which had served to boost Korea's competitiveness, weakened. Consumer prices, which had risen on an annual average of 2-3 percent between 1984 and 1987, rose 9.3 percent in 1991.
    Recent Economic Trends
    
     '91 '92 '93 '94. 1 ( 6 GNP GNP Growth Rate in % 9.1 5.0 5.6 8.5 Manufacturing Sector Growth Rate in % 9.1 5.1 5.0 10.0 Private Consumption Growth Rate in % 9.5 6.6 5.7 7.2 Investment Growth Rate in % 12.6 0.8 3.6 10.3 Equipment Growth Rate in % 12.1 1.1 0.2 17.7 Prices Producer Price % 4.7 2.2 1.5 2.2 Consumer Price % 9.3 6.2 4.8 6.2 Balance of Payments 7.0 2.2 1.9 1.6 Export US$ bil. 69.6 75.1 81.0 43.1 Imports US$ bil. 76.6 77.3 79.1 44.7 Current Account Balance US$ bil. 8.7 4.5 0.4 2.7
    In 1992, the Korean economy rapidly cooled off, with the GNP growth rate dipping to 5.0 percent, influenced chiefly by blunted investment in capital goods. The consumer price index rose just 6.2 percent, and the deficit in the balance of payments also dropped to US$4.5 billion.
    At that time, the Korean economy faced many challenges on both the internal and external fronts. Part of the economic slowdown may be explained by the cyclical adjustment of the economy after three consecutive years of rapid growth. However, the stagnation was more likely the result of a structural deterioration in competitiveness, due to a combination of the lingering legacies of the past government-led economic management system, which had now become inefficient, and the disappearance of the advantages derived from the once ample availability of low-cost labor: Thus the country was forced to search for a new driving force sufficient for sustained economic growth.
    Major Tasks and Policy Directions
     To revitalize the economy, the Kim Young Sam Administration, which was inaugurated in February 1993 as the first civilian democratic government in over three decades, is endeavoring to construct a new developmental paradigm called "the New Economy". ............